West Auckland vs Papakura City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
9.2%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.2%
69.1%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
8%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Papakura City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
PAP
3 - 2
GTF
67%
18%
16%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
WCR
9 - 0
PAP
41%
22%
37%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
PAP
3 - 3
RSF
64%
18%
18%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
WUF
5 - 1
PAP
76%
14%
10%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
PAP
3 - 3
MET
7%
13%
80%
|
10 | 56 | 46 | +7 |