Werribee City vs Dandenong Thunder SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
59.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werribee City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2014 |
PAS
0 - 2
WEC
79%
14%
7%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
WEC
1 - 3
BRD
36%
23%
41%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
WEC
1 - 3
NOR
12%
17%
71%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2014 |
BEN
4 - 0
WEC
82%
12%
6%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
WEC
2 - 4
MEL
20%
23%
58%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
DAN
1 - 1
NOR
23%
23%
54%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
DAN
1 - 2
PAS
42%
24%
34%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
DAN
0 - 1
BEN
25%
24%
51%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
DAN
1 - 4
MEL
47%
25%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -2 |
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
HUM
1 - 0
DAN
38%
24%
38%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |