Werderaner vs Fortuna Babelsberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
33.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werderaner
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CBW
3 - 2
WER
25%
21%
55%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 4
WER
65%
19%
17%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +3 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
BWP
1 - 1
WER
66%
18%
16%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
WER
1 - 3
GWA
18%
19%
64%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
WER
2 - 2
SEE
70%
16%
14%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Babelsberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FRA
4 - 0
FOB
81%
12%
8%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
FOB
3 - 1
OFE
36%
22%
42%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SEE
1 - 1
FOB
24%
20%
56%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FOB
5 - 0
TSG
35%
22%
43%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
FOB
3 - 1
UKL
14%
18%
69%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | +1 |