Wellington vs Millbrook analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
62.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
BUC
3 - 2
WEL
82%
11%
6%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
WEL
1 - 1
SAL
8%
14%
78%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
WEL
5 - 0
KEY
46%
21%
33%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BRI
0 - 0
WEL
92%
6%
2%
|
11 | 29 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
WEL
0 - 2
SHE
25%
21%
55%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Millbrook
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
MLB
0 - 0
TOR
63%
19%
18%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SHE
3 - 0
MLB
66%
18%
16%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
KEY
2 - 1
MLB
7%
13%
80%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MLB
1 - 1
ILF
62%
19%
19%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ASH
3 - 1
MLB
16%
18%
67%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |