Wellington Recreation vs Dergview FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
6.9%
14%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
75.7%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
16.1%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
3.4%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
10.2%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.4%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Recreation
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
RIC
1 - 4
WRE
58%
20%
22%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
WRE
1 - 3
FIV
13%
16%
72%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
HAR
3 - 2
WRE
86%
11%
4%
|
10 | 56 | 46 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
VAL
0 - 2
WRE
41%
23%
36%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
WRE
1 - 2
IVU
42%
23%
35%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Dergview FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
DER
1 - 1
POR
75%
16%
9%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 3
DER
10%
14%
76%
|
45 | 9 | 36 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
DER
1 - 2
OSF
82%
12%
6%
|
46 | 16 | 30 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
GLE
2 - 0
DER
83%
13%
5%
|
46 | 72 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
DER
2 - 1
MOY
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |