Wellington Phoenix II vs Waterside Karori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.4%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
10%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10%
4.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-60%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
2º
5º
2º
18
6º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
31 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 24 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Phoenix II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
WEL
4 - 2
BIR
42%
23%
35%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 3
WEL
66%
18%
16%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
WEL
1 - 1
WEL
26%
21%
53%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
AUC
2 - 0
WEL
78%
14%
8%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
WEL
2 - 3
MIR
54%
21%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Waterside Karori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
WSU
1 - 4
WKA
48%
21%
31%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
WKA
1 - 0
WEL
7%
14%
80%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | +4 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
WKA
2 - 1
NAP
17%
17%
66%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +2 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
WEL
2 - 0
WKA
90%
7%
3%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
WKA
1 - 1
PET
79%
13%
9%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |