Wellington Phoenix II vs Eastern Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
60.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
3º
8º
5º
5
3º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 20 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 18 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 17 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
13 | 13 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
5 | 5 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 4 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Phoenix II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
WEL
2 - 1
STO
86%
9%
5%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
NAP
2 - 0
WEL
67%
17%
17%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
WEL
2 - 1
NWA
90%
7%
3%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
PET
2 - 2
WEL
14%
17%
69%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
WEL
3 - 5
WEL
6%
12%
82%
|
28 | 51 | 23 | -2 |
Matches
Eastern Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
EAS
1 - 2
AFC
70%
18%
13%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HAW
0 - 0
EAS
16%
19%
65%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
EAS
1 - 2
WES
56%
22%
22%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
TCU
1 - 5
EAS
44%
24%
32%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 3
EAS
19%
19%
62%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |