Wellington Phoenix II vs Eastern Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
58.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Phoenix II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
HAW
4 - 1
WEL
72%
16%
12%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
HAW
3 - 1
WEL
49%
23%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
WEL
1 - 2
SOU
45%
23%
32%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
WEL
0 - 3
AUC
20%
25%
55%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
TAS
3 - 2
WEL
61%
21%
18%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Eastern Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
SOU
1 - 6
EAS
26%
26%
48%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
HAW
1 - 4
EAS
43%
25%
32%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
EAS
0 - 0
TAS
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
WAI
0 - 2
EAS
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
EAS
1 - 2
TEA
32%
27%
42%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |