Welling United vs Wrexham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
53%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CHE
2 - 0
WEL
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
WEL
1 - 1
ALT
32%
25%
43%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 0
WEL
59%
24%
17%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
HAL
1 - 1
WEL
73%
16%
11%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
WEL
1 - 2
BAR
33%
25%
42%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
WRE
2 - 0
BRO
57%
22%
22%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2016 |
ALT
1 - 1
WRE
34%
27%
39%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
WRE
2 - 2
FOR
37%
26%
37%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
EAS
1 - 1
WRE
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 0
WRE
35%
28%
37%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |