Tartu Welco vs Alliance FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
68.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tartu Welco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2019 |
PAR
5 - 1
WEL
75%
15%
11%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
WEL
1 - 1
RAK
29%
24%
48%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
TAM
3 - 0
WEL
71%
17%
12%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
FLO
3 - 1
WEL
90%
7%
3%
|
42 | 65 | 23 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
WEL
3 - 2
TKA
17%
22%
61%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Alliance FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
JKJ
0 - 2
TAM
53%
23%
24%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2019 |
JKJ
2 - 3
TJK
22%
23%
55%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
RAK
3 - 2
JKJ
25%
25%
50%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
TKA
3 - 4
JKJ
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
JKJ
4 - 1
LEV
39%
25%
36%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +2 |