Wegberg-Beeck vs Fortuna Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
17.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-56%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
2º
15º
6º
35
5º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
57% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
57% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
66.5% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 23 |
16º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wegberg-Beeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
H05
2 - 1
WEG
17%
21%
62%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
USC
2 - 3
WEG
26%
23%
51%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
SPV
1 - 2
WEG
32%
24%
44%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
WEG
1 - 3
SPF
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
VFL
3 - 1
WEG
45%
23%
32%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
SCF
2 - 4
MER
22%
23%
55%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
SCF
2 - 0
H05
49%
22%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
USC
2 - 0
SCF
29%
24%
47%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
SCF
0 - 2
SPV
53%
22%
25%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
SPF
2 - 0
SCF
55%
21%
23%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |