Wegberg-Beeck vs BCV Glesch-Paffendorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.1%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
1º
2º
2º
33
3º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
77% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
77% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wegberg-Beeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SCF
1 - 1
WEG
22%
22%
57%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
WEG
1 - 1
BER
57%
21%
22%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
VFL
0 - 3
WEG
36%
23%
40%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
WEG
3 - 0
SPF
62%
20%
18%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
VIA
1 - 2
WEG
16%
20%
63%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
BCV Glesch-Paffendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
BGP
0 - 6
KON
21%
20%
59%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
BFR
1 - 5
BGP
52%
22%
26%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
BGP
1 - 2
SIE
49%
23%
28%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
BWF
2 - 4
BGP
38%
23%
40%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BGP
2 - 0
PES
66%
19%
16%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +2 |