Wealdstone vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wealdstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
CON
3 - 1
WEA
31%
25%
44%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
WEA
3 - 1
BRA
38%
24%
38%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2017 |
CHM
1 - 2
WEA
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
WEA
1 - 1
CHM
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
DAR
3 - 3
WEA
62%
20%
18%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
THU
2 - 4
WIN
40%
24%
35%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
WIN
2 - 1
FOL
26%
24%
50%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
MET
0 - 1
WIN
54%
23%
23%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
ENF
1 - 1
WIN
61%
20%
19%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
LEA
4 - 0
WIN
54%
23%
23%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |