FA Trophy 1/32
Global 4-3
Wealdstone vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wealdstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
WEA
1 - 0
EAS
30%
23%
47%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2016 |
WEA
2 - 1
MAI
28%
24%
48%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
MAI
2 - 2
WEA
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
HUN
2 - 0
WEA
38%
26%
36%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2016 |
WEA
0 - 1
BAT
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
LOW
2 - 1
WIN
32%
24%
45%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
SLO
2 - 4
WIN
60%
22%
19%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
CAN
1 - 4
WIN
32%
24%
44%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
WAR
0 - 2
WIN
27%
23%
49%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
WIN
3 - 2
MER
28%
24%
48%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |