Wealdstone vs Margate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
23.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wealdstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
WEA
0 - 2
SUT
34%
27%
39%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
OXF
3 - 2
WEA
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2016 |
WEA
3 - 0
HAY
67%
19%
14%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
WEA
2 - 2
MAI
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CON
2 - 2
WEA
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Margate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 2
HAY
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 2
OXF
36%
24%
40%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
MAI
3 - 1
MAR
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
SUT
4 - 1
MAR
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 1
EAS
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |