WBC vs Transvaal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
20.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
WBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
BOS
0 - 3
WBC
39%
24%
37%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
SNL
4 - 3
WBC
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
WBC
4 - 1
RHO
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
NOT
4 - 1
WBC
44%
24%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
VIC
3 - 4
WBC
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Transvaal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
TRA
1 - 3
SNL
47%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
EXC
2 - 4
TRA
57%
22%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
TRA
2 - 0
RAN
44%
24%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
TRA
1 - 3
INT
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
BOS
0 - 2
TRA
46%
25%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |