WBC vs Transvaal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
19.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
WBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
WBC
5 - 1
RAN
55%
22%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
EXC
3 - 1
WBC
52%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
WBC
3 - 2
SNL
55%
22%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
RHO
1 - 1
WBC
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
WBC
2 - 3
NOT
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Transvaal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
VIC
5 - 1
TRA
60%
21%
20%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
TRA
1 - 2
NOT
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
TRA
2 - 3
EXC
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
INT
4 - 2
TRA
63%
20%
17%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
RAN
3 - 3
TRA
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |