WBC vs Transvaal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
WBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
BOS
2 - 1
WBC
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
RAN
0 - 2
WBC
47%
23%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
WBC
2 - 0
EXC
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
WBC
3 - 0
VIC
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
RHO
3 - 3
WBC
54%
22%
24%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Transvaal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
TRA
2 - 3
SNL
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
TRA
2 - 1
VIC
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
NOT
1 - 0
TRA
49%
25%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
KAM
0 - 2
TRA
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
VOO
0 - 2
TRA
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |