WBC vs Transvaal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
23.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
WBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
WBC
3 - 2
EXC
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
VOO
2 - 4
WBC
46%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
WBC
4 - 4
VIC
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2009 |
SUP
0 - 3
WBC
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
RHO
0 - 0
WBC
53%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Transvaal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
TRA
2 - 1
INT
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
TRA
1 - 2
FCS
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
TAK
1 - 2
TRA
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
BOS
1 - 0
TRA
45%
25%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
TRA
4 - 3
RHO
46%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |