WBC vs Santos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.3%
Win probability
3.51
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.1%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.6%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.2%
5.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
WBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
WBC
1 - 0
TRA
30%
25%
46%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
BFC
3 - 1
WBC
32%
20%
49%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2018 |
WBC
4 - 1
VOO
77%
14%
10%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
WBC
3 - 1
BOT
76%
14%
11%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
INT
3 - 1
WBC
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Santos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
SFC
0 - 5
INT
6%
13%
80%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | 0 |