WBC vs Notch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
20.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
WBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
WBC
3 - 1
SNL
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
PVV
3 - 3
WBC
13%
16%
71%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
WBC
4 - 1
INT
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
VOO
1 - 1
WBC
39%
23%
38%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 2
WBC
42%
21%
37%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Notch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
NOT
4 - 4
JRA
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
SNL
0 - 1
NOT
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
NOT
2 - 1
PVV
81%
12%
7%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
TRA
2 - 1
NOT
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
NOT
1 - 1
INT
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |