WBC vs Nishan '42 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.2%
18.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
WBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 4
WBC
41%
22%
37%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
WBC
3 - 2
VIC
59%
21%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2017 |
TRA
5 - 1
WBC
43%
22%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
WBC
2 - 0
INT
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
WBC
0 - 1
NOT
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nishan '42
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2017 |
RHO
5 - 2
NIS
64%
17%
18%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
NIS
0 - 5
TRA
47%
23%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
NIS
0 - 5
INT
41%
22%
37%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 2
NIS
52%
21%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
NIS
2 - 1
WUN
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |