WBC vs Nishan '42 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
22.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
WBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
WBC
1 - 1
EXC
52%
22%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
WBC
5 - 0
EXC
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
TRA
1 - 4
WBC
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
NOT
3 - 2
WBC
41%
24%
36%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
TAK
1 - 3
WBC
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nishan '42
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
TAK
0 - 2
NIS
56%
20%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2015 |
NIS
1 - 0
INT
51%
23%
26%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -6 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
NIS
8 - 1
BOS
80%
13%
7%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
JRA
1 - 2
NIS
35%
23%
42%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2015 |
RHO
0 - 1
NIS
44%
22%
34%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |