WBC vs Excelsior Meerzorg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
26.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
WBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
TBR
0 - 3
WBC
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
WBC
2 - 1
TRA
59%
20%
20%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
WBC
3 - 3
BOS
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
RHO
2 - 4
WBC
54%
21%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
KAM
1 - 2
WBC
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Meerzorg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 0
TRA
58%
21%
22%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
EXC
1 - 0
BOS
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
VOO
0 - 2
EXC
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
EXC
3 - 1
TBR
57%
21%
23%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
VIC
2 - 2
EXC
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |