Swarovski Tirol II vs SK St. Johann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
22.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
11º
4º
44
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swarovski Tirol II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
FUG
1 - 0
WAT
44%
22%
34%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
WAT
5 - 0
KEM
73%
16%
11%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
EBB
3 - 3
WAT
18%
21%
62%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
WAT
3 - 0
KIT
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
FCV
2 - 0
WAT
23%
23%
54%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
SK St. Johann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
STJ
3 - 3
STJ
43%
24%
33%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
STJ
5 - 1
KUN
84%
11%
5%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
STJ
4 - 1
FUG
24%
23%
53%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +3 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
KEM
1 - 1
STJ
38%
23%
40%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
STJ
1 - 0
EBB
54%
21%
25%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |