Watford U18 vs Millwall U18 analysis


31	ELO	35
9.9%	Tilt	-9.8%
7361º	General ELO ranking	7422º
292º	Country ELO ranking	295º
ELO win probability

35.6%

Watford U18

22.2%

Draw

42.2%

Millwall U18

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

35.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%

22.2%

Draw

0-0

3.1%

1-1

9.3%

2-2

7%

3-3

2.4%

4-4

0.5%

5-5

0.1%

0

22.2%

42.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+26%

-1%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

16º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

25

5º

17º

48

2º

9º

5º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

4º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	64	67	1º	100%
2º	53	56	2º	100%
3º	51	54	3º	100%
6º	44	53	4º	100%
4º	48	51	5º	52.5%
5º	46	49	6º	52.5%
8º	42	48	7º	72.5%
7º	44	45	8º	100%
12º	33	43	9º	67%
9º	39	42	10º	67%
13º	33	39	11º	100%
10º	38	38	12º	72.5%
11º	36	36	13º	72.5%
14º	30	33	14º	100%
17º	24	31	15º	70.5%
15º	29	30	16º	70.5%
16º	25	25	17º	100%
18º	21	21	18º	100%
19º	20	20	19º	100%
20º	17	17	20º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Next round	0%	0%
Mid-table	100%	100%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Watford U18

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
22 Oct. 2022	WAT 5 - 2 QPR 75% 14% 11%	30	19	11	0
15 Oct. 2022	CHA 0 - 2 WAT 78% 13% 8%	28	40	12	+2
01 Oct. 2022	WAT 2 - 1 CAR 43% 23% 35%	27	29	2	+1
24 Sep. 2022	REA 2 - 0 WAT 28% 23% 49%	29	21	8	-2
17 Sep. 2022	COV 2 - 1 WAT 59% 20% 21%	30	32	2	-1

Matches

Millwall U18

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
22 Oct. 2022	MIL 4 - 4 CHA 35% 22% 43%	35	39	4	0
15 Oct. 2022	COL 2 - 7 MIL 48% 21% 31%	33	31	2	+2
01 Oct. 2022	BRI 1 - 2 MIL 24% 21% 55%	32	24	8	+1
24 Sep. 2022	MIL 2 - 1 IPS 59% 20% 22%	31	27	4	+1
17 Sep. 2022	WAT 0 - 2 MIL 38% 22% 41%	30	27	3	+1