Waterside Karori vs Stop Out analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.5%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
12%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
7.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
6º
9º
6º
21
4º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 24 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterside Karori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
WKA
1 - 2
WEL
8%
14%
79%
|
29 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
WEL
3 - 2
WKA
86%
10%
5%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
WSU
1 - 4
WKA
48%
21%
31%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
WKA
1 - 0
WEL
7%
14%
80%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | +4 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
WKA
2 - 1
NAP
17%
17%
66%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Stop Out
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
WSU
3 - 3
STO
80%
12%
8%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
STO
1 - 3
NAP
13%
15%
72%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
WUF
3 - 1
STO
55%
21%
24%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
WKA
3 - 2
STO
62%
19%
19%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
STO
4 - 1
KCU
80%
12%
8%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |