Waterside Karori vs Petone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
9.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
4º
7º
6º
21
5º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterside Karori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
MIR
4 - 3
WKA
65%
16%
18%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
WKA
2 - 1
IBU
85%
10%
5%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
WKA
2 - 1
WEL
30%
20%
50%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
WKA
4 - 1
STO
71%
16%
14%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
WSU
2 - 3
WKA
55%
20%
25%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Petone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
PET
1 - 5
WEL
9%
14%
77%
|
18 | 51 | 33 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
NAP
2 - 1
PET
81%
11%
7%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
PET
2 - 1
NWA
77%
13%
10%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
PET
1 - 3
WSU
25%
20%
55%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MIR
1 - 1
PET
86%
9%
5%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |