Waterside Karori vs Petone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.9%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.4%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.9%
4.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-66%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterside Karori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
WKA
0 - 3
NWA
48%
21%
32%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
WEL
6 - 0
WKA
85%
10%
5%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
WSU
2 - 0
WKA
67%
18%
16%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
WAI
1 - 1
WKA
61%
18%
20%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
WKA
3 - 2
STO
62%
19%
19%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Petone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
WEL
7 - 1
PET
93%
6%
2%
|
12 | 44 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
PET
1 - 3
WSU
6%
11%
83%
|
13 | 41 | 28 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
PET
0 - 1
NAP
6%
11%
83%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
PET
0 - 1
WAI
9%
13%
78%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
LHC
6 - 0
PET
89%
8%
3%
|
14 | 35 | 21 | 0 |