Waterhouse vs UWI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
HAR
1 - 0
WAT
48%
28%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2015 |
REN
2 - 0
WAT
40%
28%
33%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
WAT
1 - 2
POR
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
RIV
0 - 0
WAT
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2015 |
MON
5 - 1
WAT
51%
27%
22%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
UWI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
UWI
1 - 0
POR
43%
27%
29%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 0
UWI
40%
28%
33%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
UWI
0 - 3
MON
45%
28%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
ARN
3 - 0
UWI
60%
24%
17%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |