Waterhouse vs Sporting Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
12.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2014 |
CAV
0 - 2
WAT
42%
30%
29%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2014 |
WAT
0 - 0
BOY
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2014 |
WAT
3 - 0
TRI
56%
24%
19%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2014 |
WAT
1 - 2
HAR
53%
26%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
RIV
2 - 3
WAT
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 0
REN
51%
26%
24%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
MON
2 - 1
SPO
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
TRI
0 - 1
SPO
59%
24%
18%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
RIV
2 - 1
SPO
55%
25%
21%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
SPO
3 - 3
BAR
43%
28%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |