Waterhouse vs Sporting Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
14.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2013 |
TRI
2 - 1
WAT
47%
28%
25%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
WAT
0 - 0
AUG
67%
21%
12%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
LIO
0 - 1
WAT
35%
31%
34%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2013 |
WAT
0 - 1
CAV
62%
23%
14%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2013 |
WAT
2 - 0
BOY
60%
24%
16%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
SPO
3 - 1
POR
30%
28%
42%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ARN
4 - 1
SPO
64%
22%
15%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
SPO
0 - 1
RIV
42%
29%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2013 |
MON
2 - 0
SPO
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
SPO
2 - 0
HAR
27%
29%
44%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |