Waterhouse vs Sporting Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
16.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2012 |
WAT
1 - 2
POR
45%
28%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2012 |
HAR
1 - 1
WAT
53%
28%
20%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
ARN
2 - 1
WAT
41%
29%
30%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2012 |
WAT
0 - 0
BOY
45%
28%
27%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
TRI
3 - 0
WAT
57%
25%
18%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
TRI
2 - 0
SPO
69%
21%
11%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 0
MON
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
REN
1 - 1
SPO
46%
28%
26%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 0
HIG
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
LIO
0 - 1
SPO
58%
25%
17%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |