Waterhouse vs Sporting Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
20.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 0
WAT
40%
28%
31%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2011 |
WAT
1 - 2
POR
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2011 |
HAR
1 - 1
WAT
56%
27%
18%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2011 |
ARN
1 - 0
WAT
40%
29%
32%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2011 |
WAT
1 - 2
BOY
47%
28%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
SPO
0 - 3
BOY
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
TRI
1 - 1
SPO
63%
23%
14%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 0
MON
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
REN
0 - 0
SPO
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SPO
0 - 0
HIG
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |