Waterhouse vs Sporting Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
18.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2009 |
WAT
1 - 0
POR
50%
27%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
LIO
1 - 2
WAT
42%
28%
31%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2009 |
ARN
0 - 1
WAT
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2009 |
WAT
0 - 0
STG
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2009 |
HAR
0 - 2
WAT
54%
26%
20%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2009 |
SPO
2 - 0
AUG
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2009 |
POR
0 - 1
SPO
51%
28%
21%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
SPO
0 - 0
STG
46%
27%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
TRI
1 - 1
SPO
69%
20%
11%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2009 |
SPO
0 - 0
HAR
31%
27%
42%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |