Waterhouse vs Sporting Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2008 |
REN
1 - 1
WAT
44%
27%
28%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2007 |
WAT
2 - 1
ARN
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
POR
0 - 1
WAT
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2007 |
WAT
1 - 1
MON
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
WAT
3 - 1
AUG
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2008 |
SPO
0 - 3
HAR
33%
26%
42%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2007 |
REN
0 - 0
SPO
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
ARN
2 - 2
SPO
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2007 |
SPO
0 - 2
POR
38%
29%
33%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
SPO
2 - 1
MON
48%
25%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |