Waterhouse vs Harbour View analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
WAT
2 - 0
VER
59%
24%
17%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
DFC
0 - 1
WAT
33%
30%
37%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
CSH
1 - 1
WAT
57%
24%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
WAT
1 - 1
CSH
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2019 |
POR
1 - 1
WAT
44%
28%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Harbour View
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
HAR
3 - 0
CAV
45%
29%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
MPA
1 - 2
HAR
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
ARN
2 - 1
HAR
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
HAR
1 - 1
REN
59%
25%
16%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2019 |
CAV
1 - 2
HAR
49%
27%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |