Waterhouse vs Dunbeholden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
16.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
VER
0 - 1
WAT
23%
31%
46%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
VER
0 - 0
WAT
21%
31%
48%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2020 |
WAT
2 - 2
UWI
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2019 |
CAV
1 - 0
WAT
33%
29%
38%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 2019 |
WAT
1 - 2
MOL
73%
18%
9%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Dunbeholden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
DFC
1 - 0
CAV
48%
28%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
UWI
0 - 0
DFC
32%
28%
41%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
DFC
2 - 0
CAV
47%
29%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
MOL
2 - 3
DFC
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2019 |
ARN
0 - 3
DFC
55%
24%
20%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +2 |