Waterhouse vs Cavalier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
14.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
MPA
3 - 1
WAT
39%
31%
30%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2019 |
WAT
3 - 1
ARN
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
WAT
2 - 1
TRI
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
UWI
0 - 2
WAT
37%
30%
34%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2019 |
MOT
0 - 0
WAT
64%
22%
15%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cavalier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
MOL
1 - 3
CAV
62%
24%
15%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
CAV
2 - 2
MPA
38%
30%
32%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2019 |
ARN
2 - 0
CAV
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2019 |
CAV
4 - 0
UWI
35%
28%
36%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
TRI
2 - 0
CAV
46%
28%
27%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |