Waterhouse vs Cavalier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
14%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
13.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
MON
0 - 0
WAT
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2013 |
POR
2 - 2
WAT
32%
32%
36%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2013 |
WAT
1 - 0
ARN
57%
25%
18%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2013 |
RIV
0 - 2
WAT
41%
30%
29%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
WAT
0 - 3
MON
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Cavalier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2013 |
CAV
1 - 1
LIO
46%
28%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2013 |
ARN
3 - 1
CAV
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
CAV
1 - 0
RIV
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
CAV
0 - 3
HAR
38%
31%
31%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
MON
1 - 0
CAV
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |