Wat Bot City vs Mae Chai Thanachotiwat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
11.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
4º
4º
38
3º
11º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 33 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wat Bot City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
WAT
1 - 1
BAN
31%
22%
47%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CHI
2 - 0
WAT
27%
23%
51%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
WAT
0 - 0
MAE
55%
21%
24%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
NAN
1 - 2
WAT
14%
19%
67%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
WAT
2 - 0
KKU
80%
13%
7%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Mae Chai Thanachotiwat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MCT
1 - 1
NMS
78%
14%
8%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CLA
1 - 1
MCT
19%
19%
62%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SKW
3 - 3
MCT
62%
19%
18%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
MCT
0 - 2
PHI
26%
23%
52%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |