Warta Sieradz vs Jagiellonia II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
55.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
5º
18º
15º
49
7º
17º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
52 | 52 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
49 | 49 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
30 | 30 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Warta Sieradz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
LWA
2 - 0
WSI
72%
18%
10%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
GKS
0 - 5
WSI
78%
16%
7%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | +2 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
GKS
4 - 0
WSI
80%
15%
6%
|
25 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2020 |
WSI
1 - 1
WZP
55%
20%
25%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
WSI
2 - 9
WLO
12%
20%
68%
|
26 | 54 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Jagiellonia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
WIK
0 - 3
JAG
48%
23%
30%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
JAG
2 - 0
LKS
27%
22%
50%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +3 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
PEL
2 - 1
JAG
48%
23%
30%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
JAG
1 - 2
BRA
51%
23%
26%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2022 |
MAM
0 - 1
JAG
23%
20%
56%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |