Warriors Reserve vs Southern District Reserve analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
26.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Warriors Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
RRE
4 - 0
WFR
64%
17%
19%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
WFR
1 - 4
PEG
33%
21%
46%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
YLO
2 - 4
WFR
41%
20%
39%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
WFR
0 - 1
WTP
34%
21%
45%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 10 Jan. 2018 |
GUA
3 - 0
WFR
17%
19%
65%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | -4 |
Matches
Southern District Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
ESA
4 - 1
SOU
45%
22%
33%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
SOU
5 - 0
YLO
62%
17%
21%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
SOU
5 - 0
RRE
17%
16%
68%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +4 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
SOU
1 - 3
KIT
11%
14%
75%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
SOU
4 - 1
GUA
51%
20%
29%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +2 |