Warragul United vs South Springvale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
36.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Warragul United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
DSF
0 - 6
WAU
47%
22%
32%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
South Springvale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
PST
2 - 4
SSP
52%
21%
27%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
AVH
5 - 1
SSP
77%
14%
9%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2015 |
SSP
1 - 2
OAK
14%
20%
66%
|
12 | 43 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 0
SSP
82%
12%
6%
|
13 | 37 | 24 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2014 |
SSP
3 - 2
SOU
15%
20%
65%
|
10 | 27 | 17 | +3 |