Warnant vs VW Hamme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
18.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Warnant
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
WAR
0 - 1
LIE
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
COU
3 - 2
WAR
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
LOU
3 - 0
WAR
66%
21%
13%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
WAR
5 - 2
ENT
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
WAR
1 - 1
MEU
29%
23%
49%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
VW Hamme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
VWH
1 - 0
WAM
58%
19%
23%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
JON
0 - 0
VWH
55%
21%
24%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
VWH
1 - 4
AVA
36%
26%
38%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
HWM
0 - 3
VWH
41%
22%
36%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
GEN
3 - 1
VWH
65%
19%
16%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |