Ware vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
39.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ware
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
WAL
1 - 1
WAR
60%
21%
19%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
WAR
2 - 2
HEY
32%
26%
42%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
WAR
1 - 3
ENF
40%
24%
36%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2009 |
ENF
3 - 2
WAR
67%
19%
14%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2009 |
WAR
1 - 2
HAR
36%
26%
38%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
WIN
3 - 1
HEY
46%
25%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
WIN
1 - 2
GRE
37%
26%
37%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2009 |
WIN
3 - 0
ILF
57%
23%
21%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
EAS
3 - 0
WIN
70%
18%
12%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2009 |
WIN
1 - 2
SIT
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |