Ware vs Flackwell Heath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
15.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ware
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
WAR
1 - 3
WAL
43%
25%
32%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2007 |
WAR
1 - 0
HAR
31%
27%
42%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
ENF
1 - 0
WAR
59%
22%
19%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
WAR
2 - 0
WIN
38%
26%
37%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +3 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
CAN
1 - 1
WAR
71%
17%
12%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Flackwell Heath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
WHI
0 - 3
FLA
47%
23%
30%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2007 |
ILF
1 - 3
FLA
27%
24%
48%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
FLA
0 - 0
BUR
34%
25%
42%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2007 |
FLA
2 - 0
ARL
24%
24%
51%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +3 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
MAL
1 - 1
FLA
76%
16%
9%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |