Ware vs Chalfont St Peter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ware
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
YEL
4 - 0
WAR
62%
21%
18%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
NOR
0 - 2
WAR
42%
23%
36%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
BAR
4 - 1
WAR
58%
22%
20%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
WAR
1 - 1
RUS
14%
21%
65%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
WAR
1 - 2
POT
53%
22%
25%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Chalfont St Peter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
BIG
5 - 3
CHA
28%
24%
48%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
RUS
3 - 1
CHA
79%
14%
6%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
UXB
0 - 2
CHA
67%
18%
15%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 3
KIN
55%
21%
24%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
CHA
4 - 3
AYL
28%
26%
47%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +1 |