Ware vs Bowers and Pitsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
37.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ware
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
WAR
0 - 3
HEY
58%
22%
20%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
WAR
0 - 2
WIN
27%
23%
49%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
WAL
2 - 1
WAR
27%
23%
51%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
VCD
1 - 3
WAR
47%
23%
30%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
WAR
2 - 0
BRE
50%
23%
27%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Bowers and Pitsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
BOW
2 - 0
THU
24%
21%
56%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
NOR
1 - 1
BOW
38%
22%
40%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
YEL
4 - 0
BOW
65%
18%
17%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
BOW
0 - 1
AVE
50%
21%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
BRE
4 - 2
BOW
36%
23%
41%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -2 |