Ware vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
44%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ware
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
DOR
5 - 0
WAR
63%
20%
17%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
WAR
2 - 4
BOW
21%
20%
58%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
MAL
1 - 1
WAR
78%
13%
9%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2017 |
BRE
4 - 1
WAR
56%
22%
23%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
WAR
0 - 5
GRA
62%
20%
18%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 0
YEL
36%
22%
42%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
MET
3 - 0
YEL
55%
23%
23%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
CAN
3 - 2
YEL
63%
20%
18%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2017 |
YEL
1 - 1
AVE
57%
21%
22%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
YEL
2 - 1
ROM
76%
15%
9%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -1 |